Abstract:Rainfall and flood forecasting are crucial for reservoir flood control and comprehensive benefits operation. Longrange precipitation prediction and flood probability forecasting not only can extend prediction leading times,but also can consider uncertainty and increase accuracy. Reservoir flood probability forecasting and dynamic control of reservoir water level can effectively increase floodwater utilization rate without increasing flood prevention risks. It is suggested to further study rainfall flood probability forecasting and reservoir flood control limted water level for raising scientific management level.
郭生练, 钟逸轩, 吴旭树, 刘章君. 水库洪水概率预报和汛期运行水位动态控制[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2019, 29(6): 1-4.
GUO Shenglian, ZHONG Yixuan, WU Xushu, LIU Zhangjun. Reservoir flood probability forecasting and dynamic control of water level during flood season. journal1, 2019, 29(6): 1-4.