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    王乐, 訾丽. 基于SPI指数的长江上游多尺度旱涝特征分析[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2022, 32(5): 30-37. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2021191
    引用本文: 王乐, 訾丽. 基于SPI指数的长江上游多尺度旱涝特征分析[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2022, 32(5): 30-37. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2021191
    WANG Le, ZI Li. Analysis of multi-scale drought and flood characteristics based on standardized precipitation index in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2022, 32(5): 30-37. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2021191
    Citation: WANG Le, ZI Li. Analysis of multi-scale drought and flood characteristics based on standardized precipitation index in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2022, 32(5): 30-37. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2021191

    基于SPI指数的长江上游多尺度旱涝特征分析

    Analysis of multi-scale drought and flood characteristics based on standardized precipitation index in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River

    • 摘要: 旱涝指数是实现旱涝监测和预测的重要手段。利用1961-2019年长江上游274个雨量站逐日降水资料,计算各站点SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index)指数,并分析近60年长江上游旱涝频率、强度、范围的多尺度时空变化特征,结果表明,长江上游流域干旱事件多出现在秋冬季节,雨涝事件多出现在春季和冬季;长江上游不同范围的旱涝分布各有不同,全区域性的干旱和雨涝事件发生次数相当,区域性涝多于旱、部分性和局地性则是旱多于涝;长江上游各季节旱涝分布空间不均匀性显著,旱涝频率高值区呈点状零星分布,大范围旱涝频发区较为稀少,近年来长江上游西部趋于涝,而东部南部趋于旱,冬、春两季的变化较为明显,而夏、秋两季的变化趋势相对较弱。

       

      Abstract: Drought and flood index is an important means of drought and flood monitoring and forecasting. Based on the daily precipitation data of 274 rainfall stations in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River from 1961 to 2019, this paper calculates the SPI (standardized precipitation index)of each station, and analyzes the multi- scale temporal and spatial variation characteristics of drought and flood in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River in recent 60 years. The results show that the drought events in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River mostly occur in autumns and winters, and the flood events mostly occur in springs and winters. The frequency of drought and flood events of different ranges changes obviously in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, the number of drought and flood events in the whole region is close to each other, but the regional flood is more than the drought, partial and local drought is more than flood. The spatial heterogeneity of drought and flood distribution in each season in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River is significant. The high-value areas of drought and flood frequency are distributed sporadically, and the large-scale drought and flood frequent areas are rare. In recent years, the western part of the upper reaches of the Yangtze River tends to flood, while the southern and eastern part tends to drought. The change of winter and spring is more obvious, while the change of summer and autumn is relatively weak.

       

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