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    马苗苗, 管佳佳, 李江龙, 邢智慧, 梁珂, 王立军, 侯明月. 蚌埠闸蓄水位抬高对抗旱减灾的影响研究[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2022, 32(10): 23-27. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2022419
    引用本文: 马苗苗, 管佳佳, 李江龙, 邢智慧, 梁珂, 王立军, 侯明月. 蚌埠闸蓄水位抬高对抗旱减灾的影响研究[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2022, 32(10): 23-27. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2022419
    MA Miaomiao, GUAN Jiajia, LI Jianglong, XING Zhihui, LIANG Ke, WANG Lijun, HOU Mingyue. Study on the influence of raising the storage level of Bengbu Sluice on drought mitigation[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2022, 32(10): 23-27. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2022419
    Citation: MA Miaomiao, GUAN Jiajia, LI Jianglong, XING Zhihui, LIANG Ke, WANG Lijun, HOU Mingyue. Study on the influence of raising the storage level of Bengbu Sluice on drought mitigation[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2022, 32(10): 23-27. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2022419

    蚌埠闸蓄水位抬高对抗旱减灾的影响研究

    Study on the influence of raising the storage level of Bengbu Sluice on drought mitigation

    • 摘要: 全球气候变化和经济社会的快速发展导致淮河流域部分地区水资源短缺问题突出。开展蚌埠闸蓄水位抬高研究,对缓解区域干旱缺水压力,改善淮河干流生态环境,最大程度发挥工程效益具有重要意义。从抗旱减灾的角度,基于引江济淮前后的供需水量数据,分别计算不同蓄水位抬高方案的缺水率和不同干旱频率下的旱灾风险等级,深入分析了引江济淮前后蚌埠闸蓄水位抬高前和抬高后的旱灾风险降低程度,并剖析了蓄水位抬高后的4种不同方案所带来的影响。结果显示:蚌埠闸蓄水位抬高,对当地缺水状况起到了调节作用,有效降低了当地的旱灾风险。综合考虑抗旱成本和效益产出比,蚌埠闸蓄水位抬高方案2 (蓄水位18.5 m)的效果最优。在遭遇5年一遇、10年一遇和20年一遇的干旱时,将蚌埠闸蓄水位抬高到18.5 m时,旱灾风险降低1~2个等级,可以满足实际抗旱需求;但在遭遇50年一遇以上的干旱时,4种蓄水位抬高方案不能降低当地的旱灾风险,仍处于高风险,因此,蚌埠闸蓄水位的抬高对于缓解中度和严重干旱的效果较好,而对特大干旱灾害的缓解效果仍不显著。

       

      Abstract: Global climate change and rapid economic and social development have caused prominent water resource shortages in some areas of the Huaihe River basin.The research on raising the storage water level of Bengbu Sluice is of great significance to alleviate the pressure of regional drought and water shortage,improve the ecological environment of the main stream of the Huaihe River,and maximize the benefits of the project.From the perspective of drought relief and disaster reduction,based on the water supply and demand data before and after the water diversion from the Yangtze River to the Huaihe River,this paper calculates the water shortage ratio of different water storage schemes and the drought risk level under different drought frequencies,deeply analyzes the degree of drought risk reduction before and after the water diversion from the Yangtze River to the Huaihe River,and analyzes the impact of four different water storage schemes after the water storage level rise.The results show that the elevation of the storage water level of Bengbu Sluice has played a regulating role in the local water shortage and effectively reduced the local drought risk.Considering the drought resistance cost and benefit output ratio,the effect of Bengbu Sluice water storage scheme II (18.5 m) is the best.In case of drought with 5-year,10-year and 20-year return period,when the storage water level of Bengbu Sluice is raised to 18.5 m,the drought risk is reduced by 1-2 grades,which can meet the actual demand for drought resistance;However,in case of drought with a return period of more than 50 years,the four water level raising schemes cannot reduce the local drought risk and the risk is still high.Therefore,the raising of the storage level of Bengbu Sluice has a good effect on alleviating moderate and severe drought,while the mitigation effect on catastrophic drought is still not significant.

       

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