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    乌景秀, 范子武, 洪云飞, 刘国庆. 南水北调东线工程江苏段沿线洪水风险区划[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2023, 33(10): 1-6,26. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023368
    引用本文: 乌景秀, 范子武, 洪云飞, 刘国庆. 南水北调东线工程江苏段沿线洪水风险区划[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2023, 33(10): 1-6,26. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023368
    WU Jingxiu, FAN Ziwu, HONG Yunfei, LIU Guoqing. Flood risk zoning along the Jiangsu Section of the East Route of the South to North Water Diversion Project[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2023, 33(10): 1-6,26. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023368
    Citation: WU Jingxiu, FAN Ziwu, HONG Yunfei, LIU Guoqing. Flood risk zoning along the Jiangsu Section of the East Route of the South to North Water Diversion Project[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2023, 33(10): 1-6,26. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023368

    南水北调东线工程江苏段沿线洪水风险区划

    Flood risk zoning along the Jiangsu Section of the East Route of the South to North Water Diversion Project

    • 摘要: 南水北调东线工程承担供水任务,兼具防洪除涝、调水、航运等多种功能,为提高南水北调东线工程江苏段沿线洪水风险管理水平,掌握沿线洪水风险分布情况,开展了洪水风险区划。以南水北调东线工程江苏段沿线区域为研究对象,分析南水北调东线工程江苏段沿线区域洪涝特性,开展区划单元划分、区划分析方案、区划分析模型构建及风险要素分析计算,采用综合风险度计算方法,将研究区域洪水风险等级划分为极高、高、中和低4个等级。研究结果表明,极高、高风险区面积共计3 481 km2,占比21.20%,主要分布在洪泽湖周边、白马湖高宝湖区洼地区域及里下河区腹部湖泊湖荡周边等区域。成果反映了区域洪水风险总体状况,明确了区域内部洪水风险程度,支撑了洪水防灾减灾规划、防汛调度管理与预案制定。

       

      Abstract: The East Route of the South to North Water Diversion Project mainly undertakes the water supply task with the multiple functions such as flood control, water diversion, and shipping. In order to improve the level of flood risk management along the Jiangsu section of the East Route of the South to North Water Diversion and grasp the distribution of flood risks along the route, flood risk zoning has been carried out. Taking the area along the Jiangsu section of the East Line of the South to North Water Diversion Project as the research object, with an area of 16 422.36 km2, the flood characteristics of the area along the Jiangsu section were analyzed. The zoning unit division, zoning analysis scheme, zoning analysis model construction, and risk element analysis calculation were carried out. The comprehensive risk calculation method was used to divide the flood risk level of the study area into four levels:extremely high, high, medium, and low. The research results showed that the total area of extremely high and high-risk areas is 3 481 km2, accounting for 21.20%, mainly distributed in the surrounding areas of Hongze Lake, Baima Lake, and Gaobao Lake area, and the surrounding areas of lakes and polders in the hinterland of Lixiahe District. The results reflect the overall situation of regional flood risk, clarify the degree of internal flood risk in the region, and support flood prevention and mitigation planning, flood dispatch management, and contingency planning.

       

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