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    基于灾害事件复盘的山洪灾害防治策略研究

    Research on the prevention and control strategies of flash floods based on disaster event review

    • 摘要: 通过复盘检视我国2019—2024年22场典型山洪灾害事件,得出极端暴雨、不利的下垫面条件和人类活动影响、监测预报能力不足、临灾预警有短板、防御预案质量不高、全链条责任体系不够完善、山丘区河道防洪标准偏低等是导致近些年山洪灾害的主要原因;结合我国山洪灾害防治项目建设,探讨提出了气候变化背景下与新时代基本国情相适宜的山洪灾害防治策略,主要包括:水文站网落实落细危险区管理、加快构建雨水情监测“三道防线”(气象卫星和测雨雷达系统、雨量站网、水文站网)、提升预报预警能力、提升防御预案质量、强化风险防控管理、加强山丘区河道防洪治理、抓好复盘检视和探索创新等。

       

      Abstract: It was obtained through the review and examination of 22 typical flash floods disaster events in China from 2019 to 2024 that extreme rainstorms, unfavorable underlying surface conditions and human activities, insufficient monitoring and forecasting capabilities, deficiencies in disaster warning when disasters are approaching, low quality of defense plans, incomplete full-chain responsibility systems, and low flood control standards for river courses in mountainous and hilly areas are the main causes of flash flood disasters in recent years. In combination with the construction of flash flood disaster prevention and control projects in China, suitable strategies for flash flood disaster prevention and control under the background of climate change and the basic national conditions of the new era have been proposed. These strategies mainly include implementing detailed management of hazardous areas, accelerating the construction of the "three lines of defense" for rainfall monitoring, improving forecasting and early warning capabilities, enhancing the quality of defense plans, strengthening risk prevention and control management, strengthening flood control and management of river channels in hilly areas, conducting review and exploration and innovation, etc.

       

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