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    江苏镇江市城市暴雨强度公式研究

    Study on the formula of urban rainstorm intensity in Zhenjiang City, Jiangsu Province

    • 摘要: 鉴于江苏镇江市城市建设的快速发展及《室外排水设计标准》(GB 50014—2021)的发布,现有暴雨强度公式难以满足城乡绿色转型的新要求。研究基于镇江市丹徒气象站1981—2022年连续42 a的降雨数据,对镇江市暴雨强度公式进行了深入研究。通过频率分析和参数拟合,确定P-Ⅲ型分布为最优拟合模型,并得到新的四参数暴雨强度公式。结果表明,新公式计算的设计暴雨强度比旧公式降低约3.7%,更符合实际暴雨特征。对句容市和南京市的分析揭示了暴雨强度公式在地域和时间上的变化规律。研究强调了定期更新暴雨强度公式对于保障城市排水防涝安全和适应气候变化的重要性,研究成果可为镇江市城市规划、排水系统设计、雨水溢流污染控制提供参考。

       

      Abstract: In view of the rapid development of urban construction in Zhenjiang City, Jiangsu Province, and the release of the new version of Outdoor Drainage Design Standard (GB 50014—2021), the existing rainstorm intensity formula is difficult to meet the new requirements of urban and rural green transformation. Based on the rainfall data of Dantu Meteorological Station for 42 consecutive years from 1981 to 2022, the formula of rainstorm intensity in Zhenjiang was studied in depth. Through frequency analysis and parameter fitting, the P-III distribution is determined as the optimal fitting model, and a new 4-parameter rainstorm intensity formula is obtained. The results show that the design rainstorm intensity calculated by the new formula is about 3.7% lower than that calculated by the old formula, which is more consistent with the characteristics of actual rainstorm. The analysis of Jurong City and Nanjing City reveals the regional and temporal variation of rainstorm intensity formula. The study emphasizes the importance of regularly updating the rainstorm intensity formula to ensure the safety of urban drainage and waterlogging prevention and adapt to climate change. The research results can provide a reference for urban planning and drainage system design of Zhenjiang City to control rainwater overflow pollution.

       

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